Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.596316 34.126627 39.034594 44.736072 51.166031 58.181677 66.404190
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.985286 28.267184 35.732959 45.207003 56.851127 70.632829 88.111484
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.433082 24.460319 33.447797 45.663862 61.695413 81.861043 108.965016
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.320183 20.198625 29.582477 43.119022 61.904397 86.773552 121.847499
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.541348 18.679293 28.954074 44.516877 67.113414 98.276287 143.932235
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.407729 17.846720 29.072752 46.813726 73.595125 111.838228 169.698116
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.717435 15.851116 27.140823 45.753237 74.949498 118.084150 185.411229
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.148793 13.776513 24.767634 43.648994 74.382575 121.287808 196.694964
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.748131 13.620838 25.447970 46.431797 81.583377 136.592647 227.052838
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.609240 13.901966 26.869722 50.538512 91.193782 156.212192 265.238118
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.969548 13.146517 26.379736 51.297042 95.283195 167.304703 290.643059
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.305316 12.236718 25.489429 51.226957 97.901954 176.109063 312.815660
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.537624 11.036742 23.987836 50.034337 98.719544 182.418980 332.090807
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.996249 10.231970 23.161538 50.044132 101.746807 192.802159 359.116640
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.564936 9.592197 22.575205 50.437480 105.489368 204.662585 389.428111
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.920358 8.330256 20.513648 47.635635 102.909867 205.087009 399.773980
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.705703 8.069962 20.565091 49.158136 108.792857 221.161950 438.849453
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.580875 8.014887 21.062692 51.665028 116.814860 241.672575 487.113462
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.231079 7.295357 19.932903 50.507076 117.292046 248.011062 509.671770
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.865848 6.451912 18.380094 48.209031 115.164240 249.157893 522.513080
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.824700 6.537808 19.121121 51.247845 124.594220 273.411986 580.588858
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.851132 6.832570 20.424894 55.729181 137.465612 305.193318 654.745608
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.702688 6.556197 20.213816 56.556512 142.363426 321.247863 699.073523